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SailingStone Third Quarter 2024 Commentary

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The shale revolution’s promises remain mixed; learn how evolved business models could drive higher returns and reshape investor expectations.

Fifteen years on, and the promises of the shale revolution only partially have been realized. On the plus side, global consumers benefit from lower oil and natural gas prices, the environmental burden of coal-fired power is reduced while renewable energy sources are enabled by low-cost natural gas, governments fill their coffers with tax and royalty receipts, and C-suites and board rooms are flush with cash. For investors, however, the score card is decidedly mixed.

To some extent, that is the nature of deploying capital in a commoditized industry. However, we believe that the shale industry has evolved such that today certain companies possess a business model capable of delivering returns well beyond simple price exposure. The market doesn’t seem to appreciate this fact, and passively waiting for investors to figure it out is unacceptable. We expect management teams and boards to act, but before we advocate for a response some historical context is in order.

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The above information does not constitute investment advice. Please note that these unaudited estimates have been prepared in accordance with our typical procedures for estimates and as such, final month-end prices may not have been received for all positions. Performance for all strategies is net of fees. Returns have been adjusted where applicable to reflect the highest level of fees available.  The PEP Energy Equity Opportunities strategy performance is that of an investor invested in the USD share class of the one-year tranche. The performance calculation assumes that the investor’s account participated fully, on an applicable pro forma basis, in all investments, and was assessed a 1% management fee and 10% incentive fee. Additionally, the performance calculation assumes that all investors were given the same economic terms with respect to their investment. From Inception (May 1, 2022) the performance of the PEP TE&M Opportunities Fund is calculated pro forma to represent the highest fee level offered for the strategy. The performance calculation assumes that the investor’s account participated fully, on an applicable pro forma basis, in all investments, and was assessed a 1.5% management fee and 20% incentive fee subject to high water mark. Additionally, the performance calculation assumes that all investors were given the same economic terms with respect to their investment. Individual investors’ returns will vary from the strategy returns due to the timing of subscriptions and redemptions. Indexes are unmanaged and have no fees or expenses. An investment cannot be made directly in an index. The strategies represented consist of securities which may vary significantly from those in the indices listed in the Estimated Net Performance Benchmark chart, and performance calculation methods may not be entirely comparable.  Accordingly, comparing results shown to those of the aforementioned indices may be of limited use. Please refer to fund documents for terms and appropriate risk disclosures. As a reminder, please note that the information provided is confidential and should not be forwarded or distributed by any recipient. If you would like to add someone to the distribution list or have any questions, please feel free to contact us at ClientServices@PickeringEnergyPartners.com.

SailingStone Third Quarter 2024 Commentary

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